19 Oct · 07:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YP
🇺🇦Yurii Parahailo
ELO 1530
FormLWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Shchegelskyi
DS
🇺🇦Dmytro Shchegelskyi
ELO 1585
FormLWLWW
44%
56%
🌟Shchegelskyi rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (131)
Fair odds · Shchegelskyi
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+55
H2H49-65
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+55)