19 Oct · 08:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kurylenko
ELO 1538
FormLWWWL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Kurylenko
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Miroshnychenko
ELO 1355
FormLLLWW
69%
31%
Fair odds · Kurylenko
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~74 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
19%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+183
H2H78-51
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+183)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (78-51)