19 Oct · 08:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ovsiienko
ELO 1426
FormLLLLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Stetsenko
MS
🇺🇦Maksym Stetsenko
ELO 1530
FormWWLWW
39%
61%
Fair odds · Stetsenko
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~74 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+104
H2H68-75
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+104)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)