19 Oct · 09:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IE
🇺🇦Ihor Emets
ELO 1538
FormWWLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Emets
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Leonenko
ELO 1468
FormWWLLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Emets
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H12-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-4)