19 Oct · 06:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1444
FormWLLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kuzmenko
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Miroshnychenko
ELO 1355
FormLLLWW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Kuzmenko
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~74 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+89
H2H70-43
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (70-43)