19 Oct · 08:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Leonenko
ELO 1468
FormWWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kurtenko
AK
🇺🇦Andrii Kurtenko
ELO 1474
FormWLLLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H30-35
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.