19 Oct · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VK
🇺🇦Volodymyr Khyzhnyak
ELO 1346
FormLWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Khyzhnyak
OB
🇺🇦Oleksandr Badanin
ELO 1340
FormWLLLW
51%
49%
🌟Badanin covers set handicap as underdog 66% (35)
Fair odds · Khyzhnyak
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H6-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.