19 Oct · 10:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OP
🇺🇦Oleh Plyska
ELO 1449
FormLLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Sabuka
DS
🇺🇦David Sabuka
ELO 1506
FormLWWLW
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Plyska🌟Plyska covers set handicap as underdog 63% (115)
Fair odds · Sabuka
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H5-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)