22 Oct · 19:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VS
🇺🇦Volodymyr Savoliuk
ELO 1588
FormLLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Riadynskyi
YR
🇺🇦Yehor Riadynskyi
ELO 1617
FormWWLWL
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Savoliuk
Fair odds · Riadynskyi
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H30-26
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.