22 Oct · 19:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LK
🇺🇦Libor Krasl
ELO 1515
FormWLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Krasl
SK
🇺🇦Stepan Kalensky
ELO 1509
FormLWWLW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kalensky🌟Krasl rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (36)
Fair odds · Krasl
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H8-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.