22 Oct · 19:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
YS
🇺🇦Yuriy Shcherbak
ELO 1331
FormWLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Martynenko
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Martynenko
ELO 1334
FormLLWLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Martynenko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H6-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.