23 Oct · 16:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VM
🇺🇦Vladyslav Mishchenko
ELO 1491
FormLWLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Hrabskyi
AH
🇺🇦Andrii Hrabskyi
ELO 1561
FormWLWLW
43%
57%
🌟Hrabskyi rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (144)
Fair odds · Hrabskyi
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H23-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-18)