26 Oct · 08:30 MEZLow · Slight Edge
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kurylenko
ELO 1494
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Ziakun
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ziakun
ELO 1509
FormWLWLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Ziakun
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 43% · 2.30· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+15
H2H39-61
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.