26 Oct · 08:00 MEZLow · Slight Edge
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1455
FormLWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kuzmenko
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Lyman
ELO 1425
FormWLLLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Kuzmenko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 59% · 1.69· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H44-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.