26 Oct · 08:30 MEZMedium · Model Lean
MT
🇺🇦Maksym Tiutiunnyk
ELO 1522
FormWWWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kovshun
YK
🇺🇦Yaroslav Kovshun
ELO 1611
FormLWWWW
41%
59%
🔥 Underdog lean · Tiutiunnyk
Fair odds · Kovshun
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+89
H2H3-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)