26 Oct · 08:15 MEZLow · Coin Flip
LR
🇺🇦Lukas Rulc
ELO 1522
FormLLWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Rulc
TL
🇺🇦Tomas Liska
ELO 1520
FormLWLLW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Liska🌟Rulc rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (182)
Fair odds · Rulc
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H63-47
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.