26 Oct · 08:05 MEZMedium · Model Lean
YP
🇺🇦Yurii Parahailo
ELO 1572
FormLWLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Parahailo
RN
🇺🇦Ruslan Novak
ELO 1493
FormLLWLW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Parahailo
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~80 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+79
H2H49-41
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (49-41)