26 Oct · 08:00 MEZMedium · Model Lean
OS
🇺🇦Oleg Shvydkyi
ELO 1228
FormLLLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Urezchenko
YU
🇺🇦Yurii Urezchenko
ELO 1296
FormLWWWL
43%
57%
🌟Shvydkyi stays under total as underdog 69% (54)
Fair odds · Urezchenko
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 76% · 1.31· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~73 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+68
H2H13-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-2)