26 Oct · 08:05 MEZMedium · Model Lean
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Osadchyi
ELO 1550
FormWLLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Osadchyi
OV
🇺🇦Oleh Volynets
ELO 1465
FormWLLWL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Osadchyi
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+85
H2H9-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-3)