29 Oct · 07:15 MEZLow · Slight Edge
VG
🇺🇦Vojtech Grubr
ELO 1582
FormWLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kocvara
MK
🇺🇦Martin Kocvara
ELO 1612
FormLWLWL
47%
53%
🌟Grubr covers set handicap as underdog 68% (96)
Fair odds · Kocvara
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.