30 Oct · 02:00 MEZLow · Coin Flip
IK
🇺🇦Ivan Kozachuk
ELO 1577
FormWWLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kozachuk
DS
🇺🇦Denys Shcherbak
ELO 1572
FormLLLWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Kozachuk
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H50-61
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.