30 Oct · 01:35 MEZLow · Slight Edge
HK
🇺🇦Hryhorii Kulishov
ELO 1515
FormLWLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Khandetskyi
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Khandetskyi
ELO 1556
FormLWWWW
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kulishov
Fair odds · Khandetskyi
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H11-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.