30 Oct · 03:00 MEZLow · Slight Edge
IK
🇺🇦Ivan Kozachuk
ELO 1577
FormWWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kozachuk
RH
🇺🇦Ruslan Haiseniuk
ELO 1536
FormWLWWW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Kozachuk
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H24-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.