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01 Nov · 04:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DSDmytro Shchegelskyi
🇺🇦Dmytro Shchegelskyi
ELO 1599
3-0Final setsShchegelskyi won
OAOleksandr Alieksieev
🇺🇦Oleksandr Alieksieev
ELO 1674
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Alieksieev at 63%. The actual result was Dmytro Shchegelskyi 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Alieksieev favoured
Upset
Total 73.5
57 points played
Under
Set handicap
Alieksieev −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Alieksieev −5.5 points
No cover
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dmytro Shchegelskyi is favoured to win, below means Oleksandr Alieksieev.

▲ Dmytro Shchegelskyipre 39% → final 100%
Oleksandr Alieksieev ▼
Biggest swing 79 ptsShchegelskyi recovered from 21%57 points · 3 games