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← Setka Cup predictions
01 Nov · 17:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
RNRuslan Novak
🇺🇦Ruslan Novak
ELO 1482
3-1Final setsNovak won
VKVladyslav Kovalchuk
🇺🇦Vladyslav Kovalchuk
ELO 1505
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Novak at 56%. The actual result was Ruslan Novak 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Kovalchuk favoured — closing 1.63
Upset
Total 78.5
89 points played
Over
Set handicap
Kovalchuk −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Kovalchuk −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.85
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Ruslan Novak is favoured to win, below means Vladyslav Kovalchuk.

▲ Ruslan Novakpre 53% → final 97%
Vladyslav Kovalchuk ▼
Biggest swing 73 ptsNovak recovered from 24%72 points · 4 games