2 Nov · 07:00 MEZMedium · Model Lean
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Matviichuk
ELO 1325
FormLLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Lysyi
AL
🇺🇦Anatoliy Lysyi
ELO 1391
FormLWWLW
43%
57%
⚡ Cover lean · Lysyi🌟Matviichuk stays under total as underdog 69% (145)
Fair odds · Lysyi
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+66
H2H21-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)