2 Nov · 07:15 MEZMedium · Model Lean
TL
🇺🇦Tomas Liska
ELO 1539
FormLLWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Grubr
VG
🇺🇦Vojtech Grubr
ELO 1582
FormWLWWW
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Liska🌟Liska covers set handicap as underdog 66% (209)
Fair odds · Grubr
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 1.99· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H22-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-19)