2 Nov · 08:00 MEZLow · Slight Edge
SH
🇺🇦Serhii Honcharenko
ELO 1409
FormWLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Honcharenko
AL
🇺🇦Anatoliy Lysyi
ELO 1391
FormLWWLW
52%
48%
🌟Lysyi covers set handicap as underdog 62% (104)
Fair odds · Honcharenko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+18
H2H38-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.