2 Nov · 08:15 MEZLow · Slight Edge
TL
🇺🇦Tomas Liska
ELO 1539
FormLLWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Liska
MM
🇺🇦Michal Makara
ELO 1503
FormLWWLW
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Makara🌟Makara covers set handicap as underdog 67% (336)
Fair odds · Liska
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 49% · 2.04· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
17%
Elo Gap+36
H2H51-56
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.