2 Nov · 07:50 MEZMedium · Model Lean
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii Mukhin
ELO 1473
FormLLWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Khalenko
MK
🇺🇦Mykhailo Khalenko
ELO 1546
FormWLWWL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Khalenko
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+73
H2H12-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-11)