2 Nov · 07:30 MEZMedium · Model Lean
OP
🇺🇦Oleh Plyska
ELO 1455
FormWLLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Plyska
PM
🇺🇦Pavel Moulis
ELO 1376
FormLWWLL
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Moulis🌟Plyska rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (145)
Fair odds · Plyska
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+79
H2H10-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-6)