2 Nov · 07:45 MEZMedium · Model Lean
LS
🇺🇦Lukas Svoboda
ELO 1583
FormWLLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Svoboda
MM
🇺🇦Michal Makara
ELO 1503
FormLWWLW
58%
42%
🌟Makara covers set handicap as underdog 67% (336)
Fair odds · Svoboda
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+80
H2H12-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-5)