3 Nov · 07:45 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
MM
🇺🇦Michal Makara
ELO 1505
FormLLWWL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Heinzl
LH
🇺🇦Lukas Heinzl
ELO 1661
FormWWLWL
34%
66%
🔥 Underdog lean · Makara🌟Makara covers set handicap as underdog 67% (341)
Fair odds · Heinzl
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+156
H2H24-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+156)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-15)