3 Nov · 07:30 MEZMedium · Model Lean
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kurylenko
ELO 1478
FormWWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kurylenko
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Lyman
ELO 1425
FormLWWLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Kurylenko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H48-33
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (48-33)