3 Nov · 09:00 MEZMedium · Model Lean
YZ
🇺🇦Yurii Zvolynskyi
ELO 1439
FormLWWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Saakian
VS
🇺🇦Vihen Saakian
ELO 1526
FormWWLWW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Saakian
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~79 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+87
H2H6-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-5)