3 Nov · 06:35 MEZLow · Coin Flip
AM
🇺🇦Anton Molochko
ELO 1761
FormWWWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Verbyany
VV
🇺🇦Vasily Verbyany
ELO 1764
FormLWWLL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Verbyany
Fair odds · Verbyany
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H72-124
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.