3 Nov · 09:35 MEZLow · Slight Edge
AM
🇺🇦Anton Molochko
ELO 1761
FormWWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Molochko
BK
🇺🇦Bohdan Kohut
ELO 1723
FormLWLLW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Molochko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H101-42
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.