3 Nov · 08:00 MEZLow · Slight Edge
YZ
🇺🇦Yurii Zvolynskyi
ELO 1439
FormLWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Zvolynskyi
SH
🇺🇦Serhii Honcharenko
ELO 1414
FormLWWWW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Zvolynskyi
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H50-23
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.