3 Nov · 09:05 MEZMedium · Model Lean
ND
🇺🇦Nazar Danyliuk
ELO 1894
FormLLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Danyliuk
DZ
🇺🇦Dmytro Zeniuk
ELO 1850
FormWLLWL
55%
45%
🌟Zeniuk covers set handicap as underdog 69% (124)
Fair odds · Danyliuk
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H85-28
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (85-28)