3 Nov · 06:25 MEZMedium · Model Lean
IK
🇺🇦Ivan Kozachuk
ELO 1583
FormLWLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kozachuk
IR
🇺🇦Ivan Romaniak
ELO 1516
FormLLWLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Kozachuk
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+67
H2H51-34
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (51-34)