3 Nov · 07:30 MEZMedium · Model Lean
VB
🇺🇦Volodymyr Bilobrov
ELO 1571
FormLLWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Troyan
AT
🇺🇦Andrey Troyan
ELO 1616
FormWWWLL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Troyan
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H18-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+45)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-6)