3 Nov · 07:00 MEZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇺🇦Valerii Kolesnykov
ELO 1522
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kolesnykov
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Karpenko
ELO 1503
FormLWLLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Kolesnykov
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H29-27
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.