3 Nov · 09:15 MEZMedium · Model Lean
LS
🇺🇦Lukas Svoboda
ELO 1568
FormWLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Svoboda
MM
🇺🇦Michal Makara
ELO 1505
FormLLWWL
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Makara🌟Makara covers set handicap as underdog 67% (341)
Fair odds · Svoboda
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+63
H2H12-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-6)