3 Nov · 09:30 MEZLow · Slight Edge
MV
🇺🇦Miroslav Vana
ELO 1527
FormLLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Sabuka
DS
🇺🇦David Sabuka
ELO 1551
FormWWLLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Sabuka
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.