3 Nov · 07:35 MEZMedium · Model Lean
OP
🇺🇦Oleh Ponomarenko
ELO 1417
FormLWWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Ponomarenko
DK
🇺🇦Dmytro Kunchurov
ELO 1335
FormWWWWL
59%
41%
🌟Ponomarenko stays under total as favourite 63% (141)
Fair odds · Ponomarenko
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H41-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (41-14)