3 Nov · 08:30 MEZMedium · Model Lean
VK
🇺🇦Valentyn Kurliuk
ELO 1540
FormWWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Simchuk
VS
🇺🇦Viacheslav Simchuk
ELO 1589
FormLWLWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Simchuk
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~73 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+49
H2H10-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+49)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-9)