3 Nov · 09:50 MEZMedium · Model Lean
EH
🇺🇦Evhenii Hrytsenko
ELO 1556
FormLWLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Strutinskiy
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Strutinskiy
ELO 1632
FormWWWWW
42%
58%
🔥 Underdog lean · Hrytsenko🌟Hrytsenko covers set handicap as underdog 65% (206)
Fair odds · Strutinskiy
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+76
H2H39-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (39-16)