3 Nov · 08:05 MEZLow · Coin Flip
VM
🇺🇦Volodymyr Mykhalchenko
ELO 1390
FormWWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Osipov
SO
🇺🇦Sergey Osipov
ELO 1398
FormLLLLL
49%
51%
🌟Osipov stays under total as favourite 66% (50)
Fair odds · Osipov
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+8
H2H8-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.