3 Nov · 09:45 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
LH
🇺🇦Lukas Heinzl
ELO 1661
FormWWLWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Heinzl
LA
🇺🇦Lukas Adam
ELO 1567
FormLWLWL
60%
40%
🔥 Underdog lean · Adam🌟Adam covers set handicap as underdog 67% (123)
Fair odds · Heinzl
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~79 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+94
H2H26-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+94)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-17)