3 Nov · 06:30 MEZMedium · Model Lean
YV
🇺🇦Yurii Volkov
ELO 1661
FormWWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Volkov
YK
🇺🇦Yaroslav Kovshun
ELO 1615
FormLWLWW
55%
45%
🌟Kovshun covers set handicap as underdog 62% (157)
Fair odds · Volkov
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H60-43
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+46)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (60-43)